海外
眾所周知，過去的兩三天內發生了許多大事小事，緊急加錄一期美輪美換談論特朗普遇刺的事情。（某種意義上來說，是昨日文章的補充）
很湊巧的是，這周三還和老朋友lark老師跨界聊了聊特朗普二進宮對烏克蘭軍援和美國未來外交政策的影響，剛好也算是撞上了個新聞，一并發來給大家參考。
播客RSS地址：
https://podcast.theamericanroulette.com/episodes/trump-rally-shooting
https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/episode/6693e81d37236c546e15cea6
【聊了什么】
7月13日，前總統特朗普在賓夕法尼亞州巴特勒舉行集會時，現場發生槍擊案，特朗普右耳上部被擊中。槍手在現場被特勤局擊斃，槍擊造成一名現場觀眾死亡。目前槍擊案正被作為對特朗普的暗殺未遂進行調查。
我們在事件后第一時間錄制了一起播客，對此事件及其影響進行了分析。我們還對歷史上發生的針對美國總統的暴力事件進行了回顧。
本期播客錄制于美國東部時間2024年7月14日下午，播客錄制后事件可能會有新的發展。
【支持我們】
如果喜歡這期節目并希望支持我們將節目繼續做下去：歡迎加入我們最新推出的會員計劃：https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/
眾籌平臺鏈接：
Patreon https://www.patreon.com/americanroulette
愛發電 https://afdian.net/a/AmericanRoulette
合作投稿郵箱：american.roulette.pod@gmail.com
【時間軸】
00:00:24 槍擊事件回顧
00:01:18 特朗普遭刺殺未遂對選情的影響
00:05:58 美國總統和總統候選人是世界上風險最高的職位
00:08:57 四年前和八年前民調的偏差
00:10:17 特朗普遭刺殺未遂讓共和黨空前團結
00:11:43 黨代會引發的民調上揚
00:15:38 歸根結底還在于搖擺選民
00:16:36 刺殺未遂重新定義特朗普的競選形象
00:20:59 事件后續發展和兩黨反應相關
00:26:46 事件減輕了拜登被要求退選的壓力
00:28:40 拜登團隊和奧巴馬團隊的嫌隙
00:35:37 共和黨和保守派對此事的反應和敘事
00:39:01 政治暗殺事件在美國歷史上頻頻發生
00:46:13 對特朗普副總統人選的影響
【我們是誰】
美輪美換是一檔深入探討當今美國政治的中文播客。
我們的主播和嘉賓：
王浩嵐：美國政治愛好者，嵐目公眾號主筆兼消息二道販子 Talich：美國政治和文化歷史愛好者
【 What We Talked About】
On July 13, former President Trump was shot during a rally in Butler, Pennsylvania. He sustained an injury to his upper right ear. The gunman was neutralized by Secret Service agents at the scene. The incident also resulted in the death of one rally attendee. Authorities are currently investigating the shooting as an attempted assassination of the former president.
We recorded this podcast shortly after the event to provide a timely analysis of the incident and its potential implications. Additionally, we offer a historical perspective by reviewing past incidents of violence against U.S. presidents and presidential candidates.
This episode was recorded on the afternoon of July 14, 2024, Eastern Time. The situation may have evolved since the recording of this episode.
【Support Us】
If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following:
Join our membership program: americanroulette.ghost.io
Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette
Support us on AFDIAN: https://afdian.net/a/AmericanRoulette
Business Inquiries and fan mail: american.roulette.pod@gmail.com
【Timeline】
00:00:24 Overview of the shooting at Trump rally
00:01:18 How the assassination attempt affects Trump's campaign
00:05:58 U.S. Presidents and candidates face world's highest security risks
00:08:57 Analyzing polls from 4 and 8 years ago
00:10:17 GOP rallies behind Trump following assassination attempt
00:11:43 Post-convention bounce in the polls
00:15:38 Swing voters remain the deciding factor
00:16:36 Assassination attempt reshapes Trump's campaign narrative
00:20:59 Responses from Democrats and Republicans
00:26:46 Pressure on Biden to drop out eases after the incident
00:28:40 Friction between Biden and Obama camps
00:35:37 How Republicans and conservatives frame the incident
00:39:01 A look at political assassination attempts throughout U.S. history
00:46:13 Potential impact on Trump's VP pick
【Who We Are】
The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics.
Our Hosts and Guests:
王浩嵐 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information
Talich：Aficionado of American politics, culture, and history
【拓展鏈接】
特朗普因遇刺“穩了”？學者：可以參考43年前的里根遇刺 https://ishare.ifeng.com/c/s/v004jQUyxY7TELtgeS-_5Kxqq0oX4RSJw86rpRB7xUGnC--KQ__?spss=np&channelId=&aman=a1afdbD0d1Ebb4dd3cTe87Vdd4k25be219W4d5wdeb&gud=54a5958657
019 | 災難性的辯論之后，拜登輸定了嗎？Can Biden Survive the Disastrous Debate? https://podcast.theamericanroulette.com/episodes/presidential-debate-biden-replacement
特別聲明：以上內容(如有圖片或視頻亦包括在內)為自媒體平臺“網易號”用戶上傳并發布，本平臺僅提供信息存儲服務。
Notice: The content above (including the pictures and videos if any) is uploaded and posted by a user of NetEase Hao, which is a social media platform and only provides information storage services.
