大洋馬夫“國際加油站”第22期：鼓吹俄羅斯“遷都西伯利亞”的倡議者才是真正的一肚子壞水

近期一直有人“認為”俄羅斯要遷都，甚至將這事兒說得有鼻子有眼兒的，還確定地說什么俄羅斯要遷地新都就在西伯利亞地區。但我個人認為這種說法是極其錯誤的。也與目前地國際情勢和俄羅斯歷史走向不符。俄羅斯是不敢也不能遷都西伯利亞的。眾所周知，俄羅斯發源于烏拉爾山和烏拉爾河以西的東部歐洲地帶。如今的莫斯科是俄羅斯的政治、經濟、文化中心。俄羅斯必須得守。還記得那句經典名言“退無可退、身后就是莫斯科”嗎？莫斯科為什么重要？從俄羅斯的歷史就會發現，莫斯科的地位是俄羅斯歷史賦予的。當然，從這次烏克蘭戰爭我們就可以發現端倪，為什么俄羅斯一定要打爆不聽話的烏克蘭呢？這是一個問題。而這個問題本身也就是答案，因為俄羅斯真正的起源地是基輔，當年的基輔羅斯才是如今俄羅斯的正宗正源。基輔在哪兒呢？烏克蘭的首都啊。俄羅斯已經失去了基輔，如果再失去莫斯科，那么俄羅斯還是俄羅斯嗎？俄羅斯這個國家的名字還能夠叫做“俄羅斯”嗎？這是核心點；更是俄羅斯的靈魂和血脈的基因。

還有一點，那就是如果俄羅斯遷都了，莫斯科的地位該怎么樣，該如何定性定位？尤其是在如今的烏克蘭戰爭（或俄西熱戰）的戰略對抗和戰術焦灼的白熱化僵持階段，一旦俄羅斯遷都了，那就說明了俄羅斯面臨著大潰敗的局面，一發而不可收拾。莫斯科極有可能被成為烏克蘭軍隊及其西方雇傭兵的重點攻擊對象。一旦成為攻擊的對象，莫斯科乃至俄羅斯必然會面臨著一種現實的頹敗之勢，到了那時，莫斯科的尷尬，就會成為整個俄羅斯的災難，莫斯科甚至都有被丟失的可能。這種可能并非空穴來風，因為第一張“多米諾骨牌”倒下了，后面跟著也就倒霉了。一旦莫斯科丟失了，俄羅斯的精神圖騰也就要垮了。也可以說莫斯科是俄羅斯的底線，如果俄羅斯的底線都沒有了，底褲都掉了。那么俄羅斯還會存在嗎？如果俄羅斯的精神都不存在了，那么俄羅斯的遷都還有什么意義？如果真的遷都到西伯利亞地區，俄羅斯對整個歐洲的掌控力必然是下降的，俄羅斯的影響力就會變得孱弱不堪了。進而孱弱的控制力必然會導致軍閥割據，助長各地的獨立勢頭。一旦獨立成為氣候，俄羅斯內部會蜂擁而起，揭竿而起的。風起云涌的獨立勢頭最終會讓俄羅斯聯邦分崩離析，這是俄羅斯不能承受的之重。俄羅斯會不打自敗的，況且還會產生天量巨額的戰爭賠款呢。

還有一個特別的原因，尤其是目前的戰爭情形下，烏克蘭戰爭中的各方均處于焦灼的對峙階段，各方都投入了大量的資源正在互耗，誰也不讓誰。戰爭中的各方最終能不能取得勝利，那看誰能夠耗過誰了？誰能夠笑到最后，誰就會成為最終的贏家。這個時候提出俄羅斯遷都或者說實行遷都行為，是非常不合時宜的，這種提法本身就是對俄羅斯最大的傷害，目的就是為了打垮俄羅斯的戰爭銳氣，動搖俄羅斯的軍心和民心。如果我個人沒有猜錯的話，這種提法應該是俄羅斯國內的“漢奸”和西方的間諜故意這樣搞的，終極目的就要弱化俄羅斯人的抵抗意志和打散俄羅斯人的堅強心志，讓俄羅斯內部不打自垮。這是一個狠毒之招，俄羅斯應該能夠看得清楚。如果俄羅斯被忽悠了，在這次所謂的“遷都”中真信了，行動上實施了，意志上退卻了，那么、西方國家就會暗助烏克蘭就用武器直接攻擊圣彼得堡和莫斯科，下一步俄羅斯的歐洲部分會淪為戰場，俄羅斯人一千多年的精神圖騰和文化信仰就會被打得稀巴爛。俄羅斯的底線被突破，那么俄羅斯在這場烏克蘭戰爭當中會失去更多，甚至會遭到重大的慘敗，會死得連骨頭渣兒都不剩；所以我們上文已經說了，這是俄羅斯的不能承受之重。點就在這兒，因為俄羅斯不僅僅丟失其歐洲部分，最重要的會丟失整個俄羅斯，俄羅斯這個名號將會不復存在，俄羅斯將不會再有“俄羅斯”了。那有人說了，俄羅斯有核武器呀，即使再有核武器，如果各地軍閥割據，侵略者占領了自己的國土，俄羅斯總不能對著軍閥或者自己內部的割據勢力使用及在自己國土上的侵略者使用核武器吧？那是相當于在自己國土上用核武器轟炸自己的領土了。

所以，這是在目前的狀態之下，有關俄羅斯“遷都”西伯利亞的說法，系俄羅斯國內的“漢奸”、間諜和西方國家對俄羅斯滲透和“軟刀子”捅人的一個惡毒的“支招兒”。假設俄羅斯遷都西伯利亞的話，從表面上來看，俄羅斯的直線距離東方大國更近了，俄羅斯更安全了，但是這種安全相當于飲鴆止渴，實質上是俄羅斯的大潰敗，因為它丟掉了包括莫斯科和圣彼得堡在內的更大層面的歐洲地區；甚至代表著俄羅斯退出了歐洲。難道俄羅斯要“轉型”為亞洲國家？俄羅斯精神會瞬間崩塌，如此俄羅斯就不再是俄羅斯了。因為這個歐洲主體國家將無復存在，俄羅斯必然面臨著170多個民族走向分崩離析的不可逆轉的局面。真的到了那個時候，俄羅斯這個“大英雄”卻是死得如此的窩囊，西方國家的伎倆和陰謀得逞。不用西方的“刀”就能夠把俄羅斯這頭“北極熊”給砍死了。在西方國家的香檳酒杯碰擊中的歡快里，俄羅斯的墳頭兒長滿了荒草……；想一想看，憑著俄羅斯人的鐵血性格和智慧，會讓這些變成現實嗎？

（以下是英文版 The next is English edition）

Global Refuel Station Column Issue 22: Those Advocating for Russia to "Relocate Its Capital to Siberia" Are Truly Malicious at Heart

(Afternoon, January 7, 2026)

Recently, some people have been "claiming" that Russia intends to relocate its capital, even describing the matter with vivid detail and asserting that Russia's new capital would be in the Siberian region. However, I personally believe this notion is profoundly mistaken and inconsistent with both the current international situation and Russia's historical trajectory. Russia neither dares nor can it relocate its capital to Siberia.

As is well known, Russia originated in Eastern Europe, west of the Ural Mountains and the Ural River. Present-day Moscow is Russia's political, economic, and cultural center. Russia must defend it. Recall the classic phrase: "There is nowhere left to retreat—behind us is Moscow." Why is Moscow so crucial? An examination of Russian history reveals that Moscow's status is a legacy bestowed by that history. Of course, the ongoing war in Ukraine provides clues. Why is Russia so determined to defeat a disobedient Ukraine? This question contains its own answer: because Russia's true place of origin is Kyiv. The ancient Kievan Rus' is the authentic, original source of modern Russia. And where is Kyiv? It's the capital of Ukraine. Russia has already lost Kyiv. If it were to lose Moscow as well, would Russia still be Russia? Could the country even continue to be called "Russia"? This is the core point; it is the very soul and genetic lineage of Russia.

Furthermore, if Russia were to relocate its capital, how would Moscow's status be defined and positioned? Especially during the current phase of the war in Ukraine (or the Russia-West hot war), characterized by strategic confrontation and a white-hot, deadlocked stalemate in tactics, a Russian capital relocation would signal that Russia is facing a catastrophic collapse, a situation spiraling out of control. Moscow would likely become a primary target for Ukrainian forces and their Western mercenaries. Once targeted, Moscow and Russia as a whole would inevitably face a tangible trend of decline. At that point, Moscow's predicament would become a disaster for all of Russia. There's even a possibility Moscow could be lost. This possibility is not unfounded, as once the first "domino" falls, the others are doomed to follow. If Moscow were lost, Russia's spiritual totem would crumble. One could say Moscow is Russia's bottom line. If Russia loses its bottom line, its figurative "pants are down." Would Russia even continue to exist? If Russia's spirit vanishes, what meaning would relocating its capital hold?

If the capital were truly moved to Siberia, Russia's grip on Europe would undoubtedly weaken, and its influence would become feeble. This weakened control would inevitably fuel warlordism and bolster secessionist movements across its territories. Once independence movements gain momentum, they would surge within Russia, rising up in rebellion. This surge of secessionist fervor would ultimately lead to the disintegration of the Russian Federation—an unbearable weight Russia cannot shoulder. Russia would defeat itself without being militarily conquered, not to mention facing astronomical war reparations.

There's another specific reason, particularly given the current war situation. All parties in the Ukraine war are locked in a grinding war of attrition, having invested vast resources with neither side yielding. Ultimate victory will depend on who can outlast the other. Whoever laughs last will be the final winner. Proposing or actually executing a capital relocation at this juncture is highly inappropriate. Such talk is inherently deeply damaging to Russia, aiming to shatter its warfighting morale and destabilize the resolve of its military and populace. If I'm not mistaken, this rhetoric likely originates from "traitors" within Russia and Western spies. Their ultimate goal is to erode Russian will to resist and fracture their steadfast determination, causing Russia to collapse from within without a fight. This is a vicious tactic, and Russia ought to see it clearly.

If Russia were deceived, actually believing in and implementing this so-called "capital relocation," resulting in a retreat of will, then Western nations would covertly assist Ukraine in directly attacking cities like Saint Petersburg and Moscow with weapons. Subsequently, Russia's European territories could become battlegrounds. Russia's thousand-year-old spiritual totems and cultural faith would be smashed to pieces. With its bottom line breached, Russia would lose even more in this Ukraine war, potentially suffering a catastrophic defeat, being utterly annihilated. As stated earlier, this is an unbearable weight. The crux is here: Russia would not only lose its European part but, most importantly, would lose Russia itself. The name "Russia" would cease to exist; there would no longer be a "Russia."

Some might argue that Russia has nuclear weapons. But even with nukes, if the nation fragments into warlord-controlled regions or invaders occupy its territory, could Russia use nuclear weapons against those warlords, internal separatists, or invaders on its own soil? That would be equivalent to dropping nuclear bombs on its own land.Therefore, under the current circumstances, the narrative about Russia "relocating its capital" to Siberia is a malicious "suggestion"—a "soft knife" stab—propagated by "traitors" and spies within Russia, along with Western nations, as part of their infiltration and subversion efforts. Superficially, if Russia moved its capital to Siberia, it would be geographically closer to major Eastern powers and seemingly more secure. However, this security would be akin to drinking poison to quench thirst. In essence, it would represent a great Russian debacle, as it would entail abandoning its European territories, including Moscow and Saint Petersburg, on a vast scale. It would even signify Russia's withdrawal from Europe. Is Russia to "transform" into an Asian nation? The Russian spirit would instantly collapse, and thus Russia would no longer be Russia. As this European-based state would effectively cease to exist, Russia would inevitably face the irreversible disintegration of its over 170 ethnic groups.

If it truly came to that, this "great hero" Russia would die in such an ignominious way, allowing Western schemes and conspiracies to succeed. Without using their own "swords," the West could slay the "Polar Bear" that is Russia. Amid the clinking of champagne glasses in Western celebration, Russia's grave would be overgrown with weeds... Considering the iron-willed character and wisdom of the Russian people, would they allow this to become reality?