“雞蛋快配不上西紅柿了?” 別急，價格已在回落！

“西紅柿身價暴漲”“雞蛋都快配不上西紅柿了”……近段時間，全國多地西紅柿價格明顯上漲，引發市民熱議。

本月初，北京部分超市和電商平臺的西紅柿價格直逼10元一斤。網友調侃：“食堂的番茄炒蛋只剩雞蛋了。”

Earlier this month, prices in some supermarkets and online platforms in Beijing were approaching 20 yuan ($2.87) per kilogram. "Tomato and scrambled eggs — a classic Chinese homestyle dish — is now made in our canteen with plenty of eggs and few tomatoes," an internet user commented on the social media platform.

農業農村部信息中心數據顯示，2026年1月1日至16日，西紅柿平均批發價格為每公斤8.61元，較2025年1月的每公斤4.76元同比上漲80.9%。

Latest official data shows that the average wholesale price of tomatoes from Jan 1 to 16 was 8.61 yuan per kilogram, seeing a year-on-year increase of 80.9 percent compared to the price of 4.76 yuan per kg in January 2025.

農業農村部農產品市場分析預警團隊蔬菜首席分析師張晶表示，漲價的主要原因是前期不利天氣的影響，病蟲害偏重。陰雨導致座果率低，后續造成應季上市偏緊，產區轉換銜接不暢。

Experts said the recent surge in tomato prices in China was mainly due to the impact of unfavorable weather earlier in the season and tight supplies during the peak marketing period.

“不過，西紅柿價格運行有較強的季節性，預計高價不會長時間持續，近期價格已經有所回落。”張晶說。

However, prices have started to ease slightly in mid-January and are likely to see a seasonal decline after the Spring Festival holiday, said Zhang Jing, a vegetable market analyst with the Ministry of Agricultural and Rural Affairs' agricultural product monitoring team.

這一波西紅柿價格上漲從去年下半年就初見端倪。2025年上半年，在上一年度良好收益影響下，農戶普遍擴種西紅柿，市場供應充沛導致彼時西紅柿地頭收購價大幅下跌。上半年低迷的行情損傷了農戶種植西紅柿等蔬菜的積極性，部分農戶縮減了種植面積。

Tomato prices have remained elevated for some time. Favorable weather in early 2025 boosted output, seeing wholesale prices fall to 3.59 yuan per kg, hurting farmers' income expectations and leading many to cut back on autumn plantings.

2025年秋季，我國蔬菜主產區降水偏多，秋茬西紅柿在關鍵的定植初期遭遇連續降雨，導致部分產區秧苗受淹、根系受損，影響了后期的產量和品質。緊接著，10月中旬，一股較強冷空氣影響中東部大部地區，氣溫驟降，使得西紅柿的生長進程延緩，上市時間普遍推遲。

While adverse weather later in the autumn of 2025 directly impacted production and market supply. Excessive rainfall in major vegetable-producing regions in autumn damaged seedlings during the critical transplanting stage, affecting yields and quality.

A strong cold air outbreak in mid-October further slowed tomato growth and delayed market arrivals.

季節性生產轉換，也推高了生產成本與流通費用。隨著冬季來臨，北方露地生產結束，蔬菜供應主要轉向成本更高的設施大棚和“南菜北運”模式，張晶表示。“北方設施農業的保溫成本和跨區域流通的防凍成本依然高企，對價格形成剛性支撐。”張晶說。

Additionally, as northern open-field production ends in winter, the current tomato market is dominated by greenhouse-grown produce from northern regions such as Shandong province and produce transported from southern provinces, raising the seasonal costs.

“從目前情況看，西紅柿產能沒有下降，供應是有保障的，而且近期隨著云南、四川等多產區上市，緩解了供應壓力，價格已經有所回落。”張晶表示。

"Tomato production capacity has not declined and supply is secure," Zhang said. The recent market entry of produce from multiple production areas such as Yunnan and Sichuan has alleviated supply pressures, leading to a noticeable price decline already.

記者： 趙伊夢

跟著China Daily

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